Chicago Fed: "Index suggests economic growth moderated in August"
Led by declines in production-related indicators, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) decreased to a neutral value in August from +0.29 in July. Three of the four broad categories of indicators used to construct the index made positive contributions in August, but three categories deteriorated from July. The index’s three-month moving average, CFNAI-MA3, moved up to +0.01 in August from –0.08 in July
Guaranteed Lifetime Income Isn’t Free
Insurance protects against losses – fires, floods or a wrecked car. Because of the life-altering consequences of such as loss, clients rarely question the cost of the insurance. When viewed through an analogous framework, the cost of lifetime-income insurance, such as a GLWB, is fairly priced.
Why Investors Are Facing Even More Market Instability
Frequent flyers are accustomed to turbulence on some flights. Indeed, many expect it. Despite such anticipation, however, the turbulence can once in a while create significant anxiety among even the most seasoned travelers.
Wall Street Banks Prep for Grim China Scenarios Over Taiwan
Global financial firms, still smarting from multi-billion dollar losses in Russia, are now reassessing the risks of doing business in Greater China after an escalation of tensions over Taiwan.
Fed Finally Vanquishes Stocks From Asset Allocation Throne
For years, asset allocators had it easy: Buy the biggest American tech companies and watch the returns rack up. Those days are gone, buried under a crush of central bank rate hikes that are rewriting the playbooks for investment managers across Wall Street.
Student Loan Forgiveness Plan and Inflation Reduction Act: Are These New Policies Inflationary or Deflationary?
Inflation is top of mind for consumers and market participants. In the United States, many are questioning whether student loan forgiveness will make inflation worse, and if the recently passed “Inflation Reduction Act” will offer relief.
Navigating the Mortgage Market Through Rate Volatility and Quantitative Tightening
The US agency mortgage backed-securities market makes up more than a quarter of the Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond index. This market segment is entering a period of uncertainty due to ongoing volatility in the rates market and the prospect of the Federal Reserve reducing its allocation to agency mortgage-backed securities.